NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 05, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 23 | 15 | 63.9% | 1 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 23 | 15 | 63.9% | 1 | 31.3 | 2 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 21 | 15 | 58.3% | 3 | 28.4 | 4 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 20 | 15 | 55.6% | 4 | 28.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 19 | 15 | 52.8% | 5 | 26.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Andrew Moeller | 17 | 14 | 45.9% | 8 | 23.3 | 8 |
| 6 | Karl Loiseau | 17 | 15 | 47.2% | 6 | 24.6 | 7 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 17 | 15 | 47.2% | 6 | 25.2 | 6 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 16 | 15 | 44.4% | 9 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 10 | 15 | 27.8% | 10 | 15.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 11.7 | CHI | 0.61 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 12.9 | SEA | 0.82 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 7.4 | ATL | 0.41 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 12.0 | LA | 0.73 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 9.8 | JAX | 0.61 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 9.5 | CIN | 0.54 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 13.5 | DAL | 0.38 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 8.5 | TB | 0.59 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 6.4 | MIN | 0.39 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 11.4 | BUF | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 8.7 | BAL | 0.27 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 8.4 | LV | 0.61 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 12.2 | PHI | 0.62 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 9.1 | NYG | 0.73 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 4.9 | GB | 0.27 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 9.4 | NE | 0.7 |
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 8.9 | KC | 0.41 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 5.0 | NA | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 8.2 | LAC | 0.41 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 8.4 | SF | 0.18 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8.0 | DEN | 0.59 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 10.9 | CLE | 0.39 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 8.0 | CAR | 0.67 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 6.3 | DET | 0.39 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 9 | 12.2 | TEN | 0.87 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 8.3 | IND | 0.46 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 2.5 | NO | 0.33 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 5.7 | HOU | 0.31 |
| Tennessee Titans | 4 | 5.6 | MIA | 0.13 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 3.7 | PIT | 0.3 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 2 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 19 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 14 | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 23 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 5 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 26 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| Tennessee Titans | 4 | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 24 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
Draft Results
